Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames (OT)

Win Probability

ANA: 48.8%

CGY: 51.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.96

CGY: 3.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	45	42	3	93.3%	4.50	2	1.50
CGY	J. Markstrom	23	21	2	91.3%	2.64	0	0.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	0	1.34
1	CGY	16	1	0.70
2	ANA	4	0	0.23
2	CGY	30	1	2.70
3	ANA	14	0	1.04
3	CGY	18	0	1.00
4	ANA	1	0	0.03
4	CGY	1	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.7