Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-12-27 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 51.9%

MIN: 48.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.26

MIN: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	24	4	85.7%	3.51	3	-0.49
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	32	31	1	96.9%	2.22	2	1.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • WPG at home vs MIN: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	12	2	0.74
1	MIN	18	2	1.49
2	WPG	15	0	0.91
2	MIN	15	0	0.75
3	WPG	16	0	0.57
3	MIN	13	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0