San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-27 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 46.8%

SJS: 53.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.08

SJS: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

VAN

S. Martin

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	26	24	2	92.3%	2.41	0	0.41
SJS	J. Reimer	25	19	6	76.0%	2.93	1	-3.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs SJS: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	1.04
1	SJS	13	0	0.78
2	VAN	10	0	0.64
2	SJS	13	0	0.70
3	VAN	14	0	1.25
3	SJS	13	0	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3