Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-12-27 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

LAK: 54.5%

VGK: 45.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.39

VGK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	25	23	2	92.0%	2.46	1	0.46
VGK	L. Thompson	25	21	4	84.0%	3.22	3	-0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • LAK at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.77
1	VGK	11	0	0.75
2	LAK	9	2	1.31
2	VGK	11	1	0.91
3	LAK	14	1	1.14
3	VGK	15	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1