Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-12-29 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

NYI: 54.8%

CBJ: 45.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.35

CBJ: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	21	20	1	95.2%	1.60	0	0.60
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	36	34	2	94.4%	3.53	2	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NYI at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	1	1.14
1	CBJ	10	0	0.39
2	NYI	14	1	1.49
2	CBJ	11	0	0.73
3	NYI	18	0	0.90
3	CBJ	13	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0