Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-30 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

CAR: 61.3%

FLA: 38.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.47

FLA: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Raanta

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	19	19	0	100.0%	2.26	0	2.26
FLA	Spencer Knight	34	30	4	88.2%	2.77	1	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • CAR at home vs FLA: 4-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.66
1	FLA	7	0	0.28
2	CAR	12	1	0.98
2	FLA	22	0	1.54
3	CAR	16	0	1.13
3	FLA	8	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1