Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-12-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 53.7%

EDM: 46.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.55

EDM: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	25	7	78.1%	2.79	3	-4.21
EDM	Stuart Skinner	38	36	2	94.7%	2.23	0	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SEA at home vs EDM: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	0	0.60
1	EDM	19	2	1.69
2	SEA	19	0	0.93
2	EDM	10	1	0.67
3	SEA	19	0	0.70
3	EDM	8	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1