Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-12-31 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Nashville Predators (OT)

Win Probability

VGK: 64.8%

NSH: 35.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.13

NSH: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

VGK

L. Thompson

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	37	33	4	89.2%	2.88	1	-1.12
NSH	K. Lankinen	32	27	5	84.4%	3.05	2	-1.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VGK at home vs NSH: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	19	0	1.19
1	NSH	12	0	0.48
2	VGK	10	0	0.37
2	NSH	13	1	1.17
3	VGK	15	1	1.15
3	NSH	21	0	1.16
4	VGK	2	1	0.33
4	NSH	1	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1