Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-12-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CGY: 65.5%

VAN: 34.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.12

VAN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

CGY

J. Markstrom

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	24	22	2	91.7%	2.05	1	0.05
VAN	S. Martin	30	27	3	90.0%	3.55	3	0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CGY at home vs VAN: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.78
1	VAN	11	0	0.39
2	CGY	14	0	0.70
2	VAN	11	0	0.98
3	CGY	14	3	2.08
3	VAN	12	1	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.8