Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-12-31 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

EDM: 45.5%

WPG: 54.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.12

WPG: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	17	15	2	88.2%	1.83	1	-0.17
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	31	1	96.9%	3.48	0	2.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs WPG: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	1.12
1	WPG	8	0	0.50
2	EDM	17	0	1.27
2	WPG	8	0	0.38
3	EDM	13	0	1.09
3	WPG	11	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0