Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-12-31 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

STL: 45.7%

MIN: 54.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.96

MIN: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	27	5	84.4%	4.35	4	-0.65
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	31	29	2	93.5%	3.16	2	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • STL at home vs MIN: 7-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	1	1.22
1	MIN	14	1	1.25
2	STL	9	0	0.65
2	MIN	23	0	1.42
3	STL	20	1	1.29
3	MIN	10	3	1.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3