Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2023-01-03 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 54.6%

SEA: 45.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.21

SEA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	24	19	5	79.2%	3.94	3	-1.06
SEA	M. Jones	32	30	2	93.8%	2.28	1	0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • EDM at home vs SEA: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	1	1.04
1	SEA	9	0	0.80
2	EDM	8	0	0.38
2	SEA	16	1	1.28
3	EDM	18	0	0.86
3	SEA	9	2	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1