New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-01-04 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

DET: 44.5%

NJD: 55.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.83

NJD: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	27	22	5	81.5%	2.69	2	-2.31
NJD	V. Vanecek	33	32	1	97.0%	3.16	0	2.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • DET at home vs NJD: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	0.71
1	NJD	8	1	0.82
2	DET	16	0	1.13
2	NJD	13	0	0.99
3	DET	17	0	1.31
3	NJD	12	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4