Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2023-01-07 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

VGK: 45.8%

LAK: 54.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.11

LAK: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

VGK

L. Thompson

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	23	18	5	78.3%	2.58	1	-2.42
LAK	Pheonix Copley	20	19	1	95.0%	1.76	1	0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VGK at home vs LAK: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	0	0.58
1	LAK	12	0	0.75
2	VGK	7	0	0.19
2	LAK	13	0	0.66
3	VGK	13	1	0.99
3	LAK	7	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0