Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-01-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

SJS: 44.4%

BOS: 55.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.85

BOS: 3.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

SJS

J. Reimer

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	29	25	4	86.2%	2.69	0	-1.31
BOS	L. Ullmark	30	28	2	93.3%	2.75	2	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SJS at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	BOS
2025-01-20	BOS 6 - 3 SJS	BOS	BOS
2023-11-30	BOS 3 - 0 SJS	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.43
1	BOS	13	0	0.77
2	SJS	14	1	0.91
2	BOS	15	0	1.26
3	SJS	22	1	1.41
3	BOS	12	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.9 - 4.0