Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-01-08 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 7 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

WPG: 57.5%

VAN: 42.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.15

VAN: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

WPG

D. Rittich

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	D. Rittich	38	34	4	89.5%	2.85	0	-1.15
VAN	C. Delia	27	20	7	74.1%	2.59	1	-4.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs VAN: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	12	0	1.05
1	VAN	16	0	0.73
2	WPG	12	1	0.84
2	VAN	16	0	1.03
3	WPG	10	0	0.70
3	VAN	15	0	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 7 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0