Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-01-08 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Calgary Flames (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 38.1%

CGY: 61.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.59

CGY: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

A. Stalock

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	47	44	3	93.6%	3.29	1	0.29
CGY	J. Markstrom	25	21	4	84.0%	2.69	2	-1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs CGY: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	1	0.76
1	CGY	24	1	1.40
2	CHI	7	1	1.25
2	CGY	22	0	0.96
3	CHI	13	0	0.60
3	CGY	15	0	0.83
4	CHI	1	0	0.09
4	CGY	2	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.6 - 3.6