Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-01-08 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 7 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

ANA: 39.9%

BOS: 60.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.63

BOS: 3.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	42	35	7	83.3%	3.59	3	-3.41
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	28	1	96.6%	2.58	2	1.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • ANA at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	BOS
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	BOS
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.58
1	BOS	16	1	0.84
2	ANA	16	2	1.15
2	BOS	17	0	1.07
3	ANA	14	0	0.86
3	BOS	22	2	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 7 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.6 - 3.9