Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2023-01-09 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 0 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 58.1%

NSH: 41.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.12

NSH: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

OTT

C. Talbot

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	C. Talbot	36	33	3	91.7%	3.80	2	0.80
NSH	Juuse Saros	38	38	0	100.0%	3.81	0	3.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • OTT at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	21	0	1.74
1	NSH	15	1	1.42
2	OTT	12	0	0.85
2	NSH	18	1	1.68
3	OTT	18	0	1.23
3	NSH	15	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 0 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8