Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-01-09 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 56.6%

EDM: 43.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.16

EDM: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	31	28	3	90.3%	3.28	0	0.28
EDM	Stuart Skinner	38	32	6	84.2%	4.13	3	-1.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	21	1	1.23
1	EDM	12	0	0.83
2	LAK	19	1	1.82
2	EDM	16	0	1.33
3	LAK	8	1	1.08
3	EDM	14	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0