San Jose Sharks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-01-10 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

ARI: 42.0%

SJS: 58.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.75

SJS: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

SJS

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	33	29	4	87.9%	3.16	2	-0.84
SJS	K. Kahkonen	29	27	2	93.1%	2.49	1	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • ARI at home vs SJS: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-07	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-21	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-15	ARI 1 - 0 SJS	ARI	ARI
2023-04-01	ARI 2 - 7 SJS	SJS	SJS
2023-01-10	ARI 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	1	0.92
1	SJS	13	1	1.26
2	ARI	12	0	0.91
2	SJS	13	0	0.64
3	ARI	15	0	0.66
3	SJS	12	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6