Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-01-11 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

ANA: 37.5%

EDM: 62.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.54

EDM: 4.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	53	47	6	88.7%	4.65	0	-1.35
EDM	Jack Campbell	23	21	2	91.3%	2.14	0	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	12	0.92
1	EDM	24	1.50
2	ANA	16	0.79
2	EDM	23	1.52
3	ANA	7	0.44
3	EDM	18	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.5 - 4.1