San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-01-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

LAK: 60.7%

SJS: 39.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.12

SJS: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	30	27	3	90.0%	3.43	3	0.43
SJS	J. Reimer	37	33	4	89.2%	3.77	1	-0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • LAK at home vs SJS: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	30	0	2.28
1	SJS	12	1	1.04
2	LAK	10	0	0.56
2	SJS	21	1	1.58
3	LAK	11	1	0.93
3	SJS	15	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3