Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2023-01-12 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

MTL: 57.6%

NSH: 42.4%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.25

NSH: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

NSH

Y. Askarov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	42	39	3	92.9%	4.03	2	1.03
NSH	Y. Askarov	35	31	4	88.6%	3.36	2	-0.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MTL at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	27	1	1.77
1	NSH	10	0	0.82
2	MTL	14	1	1.08
2	NSH	21	2	1.93
3	MTL	10	0	0.51
3	NSH	25	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0