Arizona Coyotes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-01-15 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

WPG: 69.6%

ARI: 30.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.76

ARI: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	21	20	1	95.2%	2.99	1	1.99
ARI	K. Vejmelka	24	22	2	91.7%	2.50	0	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs ARI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-25	WPG 4 - 3 ARI	WPG	WPG
2024-01-07	ARI 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 ARI	WPG	WPG
2023-11-04	ARI 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-03-21	WPG 2 - 1 ARI	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	0	1.16
1	ARI	10	0	0.59
2	WPG	8	0	0.70
2	ARI	13	0	0.73
3	WPG	12	0	0.65
3	ARI	16	1	1.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6