Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-01-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 47.5%

CGY: 52.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.60

CGY: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	39	38	1	97.4%	3.60	0	2.60
CGY	J. Markstrom	29	27	2	93.1%	3.48	3	1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NSH at home vs CGY: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	17	3	1.82
1	CGY	13	0	0.83
2	NSH	14	0	1.06
2	CGY	14	0	0.85
3	NSH	11	0	0.60
3	CGY	25	0	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3