Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2023-01-17 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 69.2%
SEA: 30.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.59
SEA: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA
SEA
M. Jones
| Stat | EDM | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.873 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.50 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | Jack Campbell | 31 | 29 | 2 | 93.5% | 1.83 | 0 | -0.17 |
| SEA | M. Jones | 34 | 29 | 5 | 85.3% | 4.57 | 5 | -0.43 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • EDM at home vs SEA: 8-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | EDM 3 - 0 SEA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-12-04 | EDM 9 - 4 SEA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-29 | SEA 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-25 | SEA 3 - 2 EDM | SEA | EDM |
| 2025-03-27 | SEA 6 - 1 EDM | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 15 | 1 | 1.31 |
| 1 | SEA | 8 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 2 | EDM | 10 | 2 | 1.22 |
| 2 | SEA | 16 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 3 | EDM | 21 | 2 | 2.04 |
| 3 | SEA | 16 | 0 | 0.80 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.6 - 3.2
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