Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-01-19 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

CAR: 67.1%

MIN: 32.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.93

MIN: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	31	29	2	93.5%	3.80	4	1.80
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	29	24	5	82.8%	3.07	1	-1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	MIN
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	1	1.46
1	MIN	10	0	0.41
2	CAR	15	0	0.89
2	MIN	20	1	1.72
3	CAR	15	0	0.72
3	MIN	14	3	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7