Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-01-19 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 4 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 60.0%

DAL: 40.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.19

DAL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

DAL

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	24	20	4	83.3%	2.74	1	-1.26
DAL	S. Wedgewood	34	34	0	100.0%	3.29	0	3.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs DAL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	15	0	1.05
1	DAL	17	0	1.30
2	LAK	13	0	1.15
2	DAL	15	1	1.25
3	LAK	16	0	1.09
3	DAL	4	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9