Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

FLA: 51.2%

MIN: 48.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.10

MIN: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

A. Lyon

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	A. Lyon	32	29	3	90.6%	3.72	2	0.72
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	27	22	5	81.5%	3.48	3	-1.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	FLA
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-01-19	FLA 4 - 6 MIN	MIN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	1	1.16
1	MIN	16	0	0.55
2	FLA	18	1	1.04
2	MIN	16	0	1.45
3	FLA	10	1	1.28
3	MIN	20	2	1.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2