Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-01-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

VAN: 39.8%

EDM: 60.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.02

EDM: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

VAN

S. Martin

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	29	25	4	86.2%	4.63	1	0.63
EDM	Stuart Skinner	29	27	2	93.1%	2.94	2	0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	0.66
1	EDM	16	0	1.82
2	VAN	9	0	0.81
2	EDM	11	0	0.98
3	VAN	16	1	1.47
3	EDM	11	1	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3