Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-01-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 52.7%

PIT: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.36

PIT: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

V. Vanecek

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	26	25	1	96.2%	3.33	3	2.33
PIT	Tristan Jarry	25	23	2	92.0%	1.98	0	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NJD at home vs PIT: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	0	0.66
1	PIT	11	0	0.70
2	NJD	6	0	0.22
2	PIT	18	0	0.89
3	NJD	15	0	0.52
3	PIT	14	3	1.74
4	NJD	5	0	0.58
4	PIT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0