San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2023-01-22 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

BOS: 63.1%

SJS: 36.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.97

SJS: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

BOS

L. Ullmark

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	18	18	0	100.0%	1.56	0	1.56
SJS	J. Reimer	22	18	4	81.8%	2.56	1	-1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • BOS at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	BOS
2025-01-20	BOS 6 - 3 SJS	BOS	BOS
2023-11-30	BOS 3 - 0 SJS	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.65
1	SJS	8	0	0.46
2	BOS	17	1	1.39
2	SJS	9	0	0.60
3	BOS	7	0	0.52
3	SJS	13	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1