Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2023-01-23 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

CGY: 63.1%

CBJ: 36.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.46

CBJ: 2.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dan Vladar	25	22	3	88.0%	2.46	2	-0.54
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	49	45	4	91.8%	4.87	2	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CGY at home vs CBJ: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	CBJ 5 - 3 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-05	CGY 5 - 1 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-12-03	CGY 3 - 0 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-11-29	CBJ 5 - 2 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-25	CGY 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	23	2	1.72
1	CBJ	8	0	0.70
2	CGY	21	0	1.71
2	CBJ	14	1	0.87
3	CGY	17	0	0.94
3	CBJ	10	1	0.76
4	CGY	5	0	0.50
4	CBJ	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.2