San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-01-24 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 46.8%

SJS: 53.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.56

SJS: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	30	28	2	93.3%	2.19	0	0.19
SJS	J. Reimer	35	32	3	91.4%	3.09	2	0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	DET 4 - 2 SJS	DET	DET
2025-11-02	SJS 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-14	DET 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	DET
2024-11-18	SJS 5 - 4 DET	SJS	DET
2024-01-02	SJS 3 - 5 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	19	0	0.99
1	SJS	14	0	0.51
2	DET	8	0	0.41
2	SJS	16	0	1.11
3	DET	16	1	1.08
3	SJS	11	0	0.57
4	DET	6	1	0.61
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3