Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-01-24 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 45.9%

WPG: 54.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.99

WPG: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	32	1	97.0%	3.31	1	2.31
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	41	39	2	95.1%	3.58	0	1.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs WPG: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	0	1.20
1	WPG	21	1	1.60
2	NSH	21	0	1.40
2	WPG	9	0	0.67
3	NSH	16	0	0.99
3	WPG	16	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2