Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2023-01-24 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 53.6%
CHI: 46.4%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.11
CHI: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
C. Delia
CHI
Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA
| Stat | VAN | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.05 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | C. Delia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 1.73 | 0 | -0.27 |
| CHI | Petr Mrazek | 48 | 43 | 5 | 89.6% | 4.80 | 4 | -0.20 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs CHI: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | CHI 3 - 6 VAN | VAN | CHI |
| 2025-11-05 | VAN 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | VAN |
| 2025-10-17 | CHI 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | CHI |
| 2025-03-15 | VAN 6 - 2 CHI | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-11-16 | VAN 4 - 1 CHI | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 27 | 1 | 1.89 |
| 1 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 2 | VAN | 18 | 0 | 1.18 |
| 2 | CHI | 10 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 3 | VAN | 18 | 3 | 1.73 |
| 3 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.45 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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