Columbus Blue Jackets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2023-01-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 64.2%

CBJ: 35.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.77

CBJ: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	27	24	3	88.9%	3.19	0	0.19
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	36	34	2	94.4%	3.80	3	1.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs CBJ: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	EDM
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	0	1.03
1	CBJ	13	0	0.53
2	EDM	16	2	1.66
2	CBJ	12	0	1.14
3	EDM	12	1	0.94
3	CBJ	13	0	1.13
4	EDM	2	0	0.18
4	CBJ	4	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0