Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-01-26 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 55.5%

PHI: 44.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.38

PHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	30	28	2	93.3%	2.07	0	0.07
PHI	C. Hart	23	20	3	87.0%	3.05	2	0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MIN at home vs PHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	MIN
2024-01-12	MIN 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.63
1	PHI	12	0	0.79
2	MIN	13	1	1.29
2	PHI	13	0	0.51
3	MIN	13	1	0.88
3	PHI	12	0	0.59
4	MIN	2	0	0.25
4	PHI	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0