Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-01-27 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NYI: 65.9%

DET: 34.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.17

DET: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

DET

M. Hellberg

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	23	23	0	100.0%	2.08	1	2.08
DET	M. Hellberg	29	27	2	93.1%	4.00	2	2.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYI at home vs DET: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	DET
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	0	1.25
1	DET	8	0	0.34
2	NYI	16	0	0.94
2	DET	18	1	1.21
3	NYI	15	2	1.81
3	DET	9	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7