San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-01-27 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 65.7%

SJS: 34.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.68

SJS: 2.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Raanta

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	30	26	4	86.7%	2.62	1	-1.38
SJS	J. Reimer	36	31	5	86.1%	3.03	0	-1.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	CAR 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	CAR
2025-10-14	SJS 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-20	SJS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-10	CAR 3 - 2 SJS	CAR	CAR
2023-10-27	CAR 3 - 0 SJS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.42
1	SJS	11	0	0.43
2	CAR	21	0	1.16
2	SJS	10	0	0.39
3	CAR	19	0	1.27
3	SJS	16	1	1.69
4	CAR	2	0	0.18
4	SJS	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.1