Arizona Coyotes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-01-28 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 41.8%

ARI: 58.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.04

ARI: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	34	33	1	97.1%	3.60	2	2.60
ARI	C. Ingram	45	43	2	95.6%	4.26	1	2.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-29	ANA 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	ANA
2023-11-01	ANA 4 - 3 ARI	ANA	ARI
2023-10-21	ARI 2 - 1 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-08	ARI 5 - 4 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-01-28	ANA 2 - 1 ARI	ANA	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	22	1	1.56
1	ARI	16	0	0.89
2	ANA	22	0	1.63
2	ARI	8	2	0.96
3	ANA	8	0	0.35
3	ARI	23	0	1.50
4	ANA	5	0	0.71
4	ARI	2	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3