Columbus Blue Jackets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-01-28 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

SEA: 63.8%

CBJ: 36.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.24

CBJ: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	24	1	96.0%	2.19	0	1.19
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	28	3	90.3%	3.58	6	0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	2	1.49
1	CBJ	5	0	0.06
2	SEA	22	3	1.45
2	CBJ	14	0	1.38
3	SEA	9	1	0.64
3	CBJ	18	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7