Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-01-29 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CAR: 60.6%

BOS: 39.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.23

BOS: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	25	24	1	96.0%	1.49	1	0.49
BOS	L. Ullmark	36	32	4	88.9%	4.46	2	0.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs BOS: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.07
1	BOS	9	1	0.52
2	CAR	18	0	1.36
2	BOS	9	0	0.42
3	CAR	10	2	2.03
3	BOS	14	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0