Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-02-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 52.8%

VAN: 47.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.30

VAN: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

NJD

V. Vanecek

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	30	26	4	86.7%	2.51	1	-1.49
VAN	C. Delia	34	29	5	85.3%	2.64	1	-2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • NJD at home vs VAN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-01-06	NJD 4 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	1	0.86
1	VAN	15	1	0.81
2	NJD	13	0	0.86
2	VAN	13	0	0.89
3	NJD	9	0	0.56
3	VAN	11	0	0.75
4	NJD	5	0	0.35
4	VAN	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2