Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-02-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DET: 49.4%

EDM: 50.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.35

EDM: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	27	22	5	81.5%	3.00	2	-2.00
EDM	Jack Campbell	32	30	2	93.8%	2.46	1	0.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs EDM: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	1	0.88
1	EDM	13	0	0.63
2	DET	16	0	0.75
2	EDM	13	0	1.15
3	DET	13	0	0.83
3	EDM	12	2	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.4