Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-02-07 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

NSH: 49.7%

VGK: 50.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.31

VGK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	25	5	83.3%	4.05	2	-0.95
VGK	Adin Hill	17	16	1	94.1%	1.73	0	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs VGK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.42
1	VGK	14	0	1.23
2	NSH	9	0	0.55
2	VGK	18	0	1.02
3	NSH	16	0	0.77
3	VGK	10	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1