Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2023-02-07 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 68.4%

ANA: 31.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.54

ANA: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	26	23	3	88.5%	1.91	1	-1.09
ANA	A. Stolarz	29	27	2	93.1%	2.63	1	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • CHI at home vs ANA: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.48
1	ANA	11	0	0.56
2	CHI	15	1	1.13
2	ANA	10	0	0.65
3	CHI	18	0	0.89
3	ANA	9	0	0.47
4	CHI	2	0	0.13
4	ANA	1	1	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6