Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2023-02-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

NYR: 52.7%

VAN: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.09

VAN: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	25	22	3	88.0%	1.89	1	-1.11
VAN	S. Martin	21	17	4	81.0%	2.11	0	-1.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NYR at home vs VAN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	VAN
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	VAN
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	9	0	0.58
1	VAN	8	1	0.43
2	NYR	12	0	0.70
2	VAN	9	0	0.34
3	NYR	12	0	0.83
3	VAN	15	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1