Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2023-02-08 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

DAL: 55.1%

MIN: 44.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.53

MIN: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	39	38	1	97.4%	2.86	1	1.86
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	37	33	4	89.2%	4.74	5	0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs MIN: 9-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	20	1	1.08
1	MIN	13	1	0.89
2	DAL	12	0	0.71
2	MIN	20	0	0.82
3	DAL	15	4	2.94
3	MIN	21	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9